Leon Leads No. In Tour

Golf Betting Lines

Jose de Jesus Rodriguez, the tour's leading money winner, was done in by a double-bogey at 10 and a bogey at 12. He shot a two-under 69 and took second at minus-12.

 

Last year's winner, and the 2008 champion Dustin Risdon, who shared the third- round lead with Leon, struggled to a two-over 73 and tied for third place with Richard Scott, who fired a five-under 66 on Sunday. The pair came in at 11- under 273.

 

Rodriguez birdied No. 6 to tie Leon, but a Leon bogey at the par-five seventh gave the tour's money leader sole possession of first place.

 

Leon's margin grew after Rodriguez double-bogeyed the par-four 10th. Rodriguez also bogeyed the 12th and Leon was four strokes clear of the field.

 

Leon made things interesting down the stretch. He bogeyed the 17th hole to take a one-shot lead over Rodriguez to the final hole. Leon stiffed his approach to six feet, but, only needing a two-putt, did just that for the win.

 

Josh Habig fired a five-under 66 and tied for eighth with Garrett Sapp, who had a one-under 70 on Sunday, at seven-under 277.

 

NOTES: Leon pocketed $32,000 for the win...Rodriguez, a two-time winner already this season, remained atop the money list...The Canadian Tour moves to Saskatchewan next week for the Dakota Dunes Casino Open in Saskatoon, where Will Wilcox captured the 2010 event.

 

Nick Watney earned his second PGA Tour win of the season at the AT&T National and moved up five spots to 10th. This marks the first time in his career that Watney made it into the top 10.

 

Masters champion Charl Schwartzel and Dustin Johnson both sank one to 11th and 12th. Paul Casey stayed at No. 13, but K.J. Choi, who was second to Watney at Aronimink, vaulted up two to 14th. Bubba Watson dipped three to 15.

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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